Great Quotes Pt. 2: Expectations

“Machines matching humans in general intelligence - ... - have been expected since the invention of computers in the 1940s."

Here is a quote to guide you through decision-making and the vast data & AI space from people way smarter than me:

“Machines matching humans in general intelligence - that is, possessing common sense and an effective ability to learn, reason, and plan to meet complex information-processing challenges across a wide range of natural and abstract domains - have been expected since the invention of computers in the 1940s.” - Nick Bostrom in Superintelligence.

We use the words “I expect” casually. We shouldn’t.

When we make decisions, we must deal with facts.

We must work with hypotheses.

We must learn.

We must identify areas of low risk we don’t need to poke at further.

And we must decide, under uncertainty.

But we must not expect: expect this to happen, expect that to not happen, or magic to do its work.